Indeed, the unrealistically high number of (what I thought to refer to “recently”) graduated villagers had caught my attention too - it makes a lot more sense if those are the total number of graduate people, as part of the entire population.
How many children do you have in your settlement? Because I think the graduation is just how many children completed school that year, and they go to school every year they are a child.
It is definitely a bug.
I only have 1667 people, and the total shown is the number of educated people in the village.
It’s likely a bug, but i have to say it’s technically correct though.
Just to let you know: I need to amend my comment above - started a new game recently and the message now seems to give me the correct number. “Erratic” bug then?
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