Sweet gargabol the Defiler

Finally he dropped his gun, yea, the legendary version, it took around ~150 runs, question is, do i need another one if i want to make a shity defiler build? :smiley:

I don’t know but i want those beams in my game too.

3.75% drop chance = 1:27 runs

150 runs

100*(1-e^(-150/27)) = 99.6% confidence level of getting at least one such in 150 runs or fewer.

Dude, you were not lucky :stuck_out_tongue:

Who knows, maybe this is the secret op Defiler build for 5 min crucible :smiley:

I found one after maybe 30 runs. Has no attack speed, quite bad for a pistol. I don’t think I’ll bother to try for another.

yea, its all rng, and i agree, they could use an upgrade.

The fuck is this “e” there? :confused: Also, Merry Christmas.

Eulers number e = 2,718…

The calculation is an example of the Poisson distrubution

I have an entire YT series on drop rates and stuff in computer games, mostly diabo 2 but it works for TQ and GD too to a high extent : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtqJecx4Mx4&list=PLBTx32nCTZ2DLgBFBxg-mDFb_GNbo-jSl enjoy

I’ve never played Diablo for more than 10 minutes. I think I even said it somewhere. :stuck_out_tongue:

The video is quite helpful for people that suck at math, tbh.

But you can still make statistical interpretations like how many runs for x% of players have found at least one of them etc.

I mean as long as you have events that are more or less independent and “rare” (or many trials), you can apply the math in that series.

It’s still random, I stopped stashing soulrends after the 6th one I found, but I have no worldeater, which is the one I actually want. Random number god is a cruel bastard.

I got 3 guns so far in ~50runs. Meanwhile 0 Decrees of Aldritch from 100+ runs which i actually want. I think this game can sense our actual desires -.-

If you learn about statistics, you will stop have to bother about these things :wink:

why thou? chance of this item’s drop is still much higher than chance to get, say, light cruiser Yuubari (Kancolle) from normal construction which is ~0.9% and you don’t spend resources/materials to obtain it. ehh :frowning:

Now i’ve got the second one in less than 5 runs on one of my alts :smiley: