Finally he dropped his gun, yea, the legendary version, it took around ~150 runs, question is, do i need another one if i want to make a shity defiler build?
I don’t know but i want those beams in my game too.
3.75% drop chance = 1:27 runs
150 runs
100*(1-e^(-150/27)) = 99.6% confidence level of getting at least one such in 150 runs or fewer.
Dude, you were not lucky
Who knows, maybe this is the secret op Defiler build for 5 min crucible
I found one after maybe 30 runs. Has no attack speed, quite bad for a pistol. I don’t think I’ll bother to try for another.
yea, its all rng, and i agree, they could use an upgrade.
The fuck is this “e” there? Also, Merry Christmas.
Eulers number e = 2,718…
The calculation is an example of the Poisson distrubution
I have an entire YT series on drop rates and stuff in computer games, mostly diabo 2 but it works for TQ and GD too to a high extent : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtqJecx4Mx4&list=PLBTx32nCTZ2DLgBFBxg-mDFb_GNbo-jSl enjoy
I’ve never played Diablo for more than 10 minutes. I think I even said it somewhere.
The video is quite helpful for people that suck at math, tbh.
But you can still make statistical interpretations like how many runs for x% of players have found at least one of them etc.
I mean as long as you have events that are more or less independent and “rare” (or many trials), you can apply the math in that series.
It’s still random, I stopped stashing soulrends after the 6th one I found, but I have no worldeater, which is the one I actually want. Random number god is a cruel bastard.
I got 3 guns so far in ~50runs. Meanwhile 0 Decrees of Aldritch from 100+ runs which i actually want. I think this game can sense our actual desires -.-
If you learn about statistics, you will stop have to bother about these things
why thou? chance of this item’s drop is still much higher than chance to get, say, light cruiser Yuubari (Kancolle) from normal construction which is ~0.9% and you don’t spend resources/materials to obtain it. ehh
Now i’ve got the second one in less than 5 runs on one of my alts